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Live local conditions

Tree Damage Risk

Wind, ice, and saturated soil are what make trees fail. We track Environment Canada's forecast for Belleville and translate it into a simple risk level.

Low risk
  • Thunderstorms possible — sudden downbursts can snap limbs.

Updated Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 p.m.

The days ahead

Period-by-period risk based on forecast gusts, precipitation, and ice.

Tonight

Low risk

Gusts to 10 km/h

Clearing early this evening. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low 15.

Tuesday

Low risk

Gusts to 15 km/h

Mainly sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 25. Humidex 30. UV index 7 or high.

Tuesday night

Low risk

Gusts to 15 km/h

Clear in the evening then partly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers overnight. Risk of a thunderstorm overnight. Temperature rising to 20 by morning.

Wednesday

Low risk

A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 25.

Wednesday night

Low risk

Clear. Low 13.

Thursday

Low risk

Sunny. High 25.

Low risk: what it means

A good week for proactive care

Conditions are calm. This is the ideal time for preventive pruning — removing deadwood and weak limbs before the next storm is far cheaper than emergency work after a failure.

Warning signs worth a call — in any conditions

  • • Dead or hanging branches in the canopy
  • • Cracks in the trunk or major limbs
  • • A new lean, or soil heaving around the base
  • • Fungus or mushrooms on the trunk or roots
  • • Limbs overhanging your roof, driveway, or lines
  • • Storm damage — broken or partially fallen limbs

How we calculate risk

The level combines the strongest forecast wind gusts, freezing rain (the leading cause of limb failure), heavy rainfall that saturates soil around root plates, thunderstorm activity, and any active Environment Canada weather alerts for Belleville.

Wind gusts

Limb damage becomes common above ~50 km/h gusts; above ~90 km/h even healthy trees fail.

Ice & heavy rain

Ice accretion multiplies limb weight; saturated soil lets root plates lift and uproot.

Official alerts

Active Environment Canada warnings escalate the level directly.

Weather data: Environment and Climate Change Canada.

Concerned about a tree on your property?

Send a few details and photos — we'll recommend the safest, most cost-effective next step, before the next storm makes the decision for you.